Electricity

Work Package lead: PANNON Pro Innovations Ltd.

 

Module design

Calculation Flow Input/ Output Matrix

The module design is described in a tree-like calculation flow and a matrix specifying interactions with other sectors or modules.

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Data & Assumptions

Data and ambition level definition

Overview of the data collected, gathered and presented.

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Implementation

Timeline, KNIME flow and progress documentation

A timeline and a flow visualization of the programmed module have been created to show progress and compare implementation to the module design

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Your feedback and comments are much appreciated, questions will be addressed rapidly.

Module design

The scope of the electricity supply module is to assess the impact of different electricity generation mixes chosen by the user. The module will calculate the greenhouse gas emissions by electricity production and cost of electricity generation. The electricity production will be calculated in order to meet the demand with consideration of balancing needs of the system.

An overview of the electricity supply module design can be found below, showing the calculation for one year, per country. The basis for calculation is the power plant stock per technology with consideration of phase-out and decommission, as well as technology development. The aggregated values are matched with the demand and adjusted by balancing options.

Additionally, within this working package factors oil and natural gas supply will be investigated linked to the demand for those energy carriers.

 

Data & Assumptions

Levers

The calculation tree is executed for the next seven technologies as levers, while an additional levers is defined for the balancing/storage strategy:

  1. Wind energy generation capacity
  2. Solar energy generation capacity
  3. Nuclear energy generation capacity
  4. Coal/oil energy generation capacity
  5. Ratio of CCS in the power plant stock
  6. Bioenergy based electricity
  7. Other renewables (as composite indicator)

In case of each technology the user can choose the ambition level. Each level will describe a trajectory over time with consideration of phase-out plans and decommissioning schedules.

The list of levers will be further developed as the modelling activities for the module proceed.

The selection of the levers to be included in the module will be reviewed and validated by stakeholders in a co-creation process.

Implementation

Timeline

The Energy supply work-package timeline is summarised in the figure below and highlights key milestones and expected outcomes.

 

1st version of the module

The draft version of the electricity supply module includes the calculations of the electricity generation mix and related emissions of a country based on (i) technology parameters, (ii) net generation capacities, (iii) capacity factors. The combination of these first three datasets will already let us calculate the total electricity production for a country (not matched to demand). In order to create a realistic energy mix and account for balancing capacities a balancing mechanism will be included which will also match production against demand.

Contact point

Contact for questions about the data and module: Miklós Gyalai-Korpos, miklos.gyalai@ppis.hu